Vector quantization: a weighted version for time-series forecasting

Nonlinear time-series prediction offers potential performance increases compared to linear models. Nevertheless, the enhanced complexity and computation time often prohibits an efficient use of nonlinear tools. In this paper, we present a simple nonlinear procedure for time-series forecasting, based on the use of vector quantization techniques; the values to predict are considered as missing data, and the vector quantization methods are shown to be compatible with such missing data. This method offers an alternative to more complex prediction tools, while maintaining reasonable complexity and computation time. © 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.